Sunday, October 7, 2007

The Peak Oil Bibliography

Here's a selection of some books I've read on the Peak Oil hypothesis.
The common thread in these books is that soon if not already we will,
instead of pumping more and more oil, "peak" and start pumping less.
The predictions on the ramifications of this vary all over the map, from
moderate but annoying economic dislocation to the collapse of
industrial society.

My personal view is that it's going to be somewhere between these
extremes, but that we will be poorer as a society for the period between
the oil peak and whatever time the next energy breakthrough(s) come
online (fusion, ultracheap solar, or more likely some combination of various
technologies along with extreme efficiency improvements).

The books (and a couple of videsos):

The Empty Tank by Jeremy Leggett -- if you want to read only one book
on this issue, I'd suggest this one. All of these books tell similar stories on the
geology, but this one spins what looks to me to be the most likely economic
scenario: market panic. His suggestions on "What Can We Do About It?" run
toward the hopeful, also.

Other books and videos, from restrained to hysterical:

Out of Gas by David Goodstein

The Long Emergency by James Howard Kunstler -- Kunstler is a critic of suburbia and suggests that peak oil is going to make the suburbs "the new slums."

Robert Newman's History of Oil (A comedy routine with a real bite on YouTube)

Powerdown: Options and Actions for a Post-Carbon World
by Richard Heinberg -- Heinberg especially seems to be looking forward to the collapse of society, for some reason.

http://www.dieoff.org
If you're getting too cheerful, for some reason, try this one.

2 comments:

Steve said...

Hi Mark, interesting list. I'm wondering if you've run across anything on the peak oil adherents themselves, not necessarily the science but the people. Thanks

Steve LeVine, author
The Oil and the Glory (Random House)
http://www.oilandglory.com

Mark McWiggins said...

I read an article a while back about the peak oil proponents in Harper's magazine whose conclusion was something like "an apocalyptic cult -- but their math checks out."